martes, 4 de abril de 2017

PREDICTION MLB TUESDAY 04-04-2017


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Detroit and Chicago are both expected to be chasing Cleveland for the AL Central crown this year, and the road begins Monday when the two meet in Chicago. Last year the White Sox got off to a great start and were one of the best teams in baseball until the wheels fell off late. Detroit was also a bit of a surprise and ended up second in the AL Central.

Justin Verlander will get the opening day start for Detroit, and Jose Quintana will start for the White Sox.

Verlander was a great comeback story last year, and starts the season looking like the strong pitcher he was last year. Verlander faced the Tigers three times and was credited with one one. The Tigers won all three games. Quintana, entering his fifth season, has also been very consistent and has a career 3.41 era. Quintana faced the Tigers four times and was 1-0, while the Tigers won three of those games.

The White Sox have several young players and hopes are high for a more consistent season this year. A good start against rival Detroit would help in that regard.

Detroit was 8-5 against the White Sox last year. and the only series they lost was at Chicago. Detroit has a solid group of veterans, but injuries caused many to miss part of the season. Detroit could be very good, or they could struggle if the injury bug bites. They are healthy headed into the season though, and a win on opening day could get them started to a good season.
Recent Betting Trends:
Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 overall.
Over is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Free Betting Pick: Chicago White Sox +105
Might be one of the last starts at home for White Sox ace Quintana and think it will be a memorable dominating win. The trade bait Quintana shows why he is so valuable with opening day win for rebuilding Chicago. Final Score Prediction, Chicago White Sox win 4-1.

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On Tuesday night, the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays will play the middle game of their three game set from Tropicana Field. On Sunday, SP Masahiro Tanaka recorded just eight outs and surrendered seven runs during a 7-3 Yankees’ loss. It was the sixth consecutive Opening Day loss for New York. Starlin Castro and Chase Headley had three hits apiece for the Yankees.

Thirty-six year old southpaw C.C. Sabathia (9-12 3.91 ERA) will take the mound for the Yankees in this matchup. Sabathia allowed 20 hits and nine runs in 14 plus inning versus Tampa Bay last season.

The Tampa Bay Rays are looking to turn things around after winning 68 games and finishing in last place in 2016. The Rays got off to a strong start to the new campaign behind seven strong innings from staff ace Chris Archer (1-0). Evan Longoria and Logan Morrison each homered and drove in three runs to power the Tampa Bay offense on Sunday. 

Tampa Bay will counter with right-hander Jake Odorizzi (10-6 3.69 ERA) in this matchup. Odorizzi allowed five runs and 12 hits in 19 plus innings of work versus New York last season.
Recent Betting Trends:
Yankees are 3-10 in Sabathias last 13 starts vs. American League East.
Rays are 5-2 in Odorizzis last 7 home starts.
Under is 6-0-1 in Sabathias last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 19-7 in Rays last 26 home games.
Yankees are 3-8 in Sabathias last 11 road starts vs. Rays.
Free Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -120
New York SS Didi Gregorius (shoulder) was placed on the 10-day disabled list retroactive to March 30th. Last season, the Yankees ranked 24th in OPS and 22nd in runs scored. Tampa Bay ranked 16th in OPS and 24th in runs scored a season ago. I faded the Yankees in the opener and will do so again for much of this season. Final Score Prediction, Tampa Bay Rays 5-3.

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In Tuesday night MLB action, the Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers will play game two of their season opening series from Miller Park. In the opener, former Kansas City closer Greg Holland notched his first save for his new club during a 7-5 Colorado victory. Mark Reynolds homered and had three RBI’s for new manager Bud Black.

Twenty-seven year old southpaw Tyler Anderson (5-6 3.54 ERA) will take the mound for the Rockies in this matchup. Anderson was winless in seven starts on the road last season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been in rebuild mode the last two seasons in the difficult NL Central Division. Last year, the Brewers won 73 games and finished in fourth place in the division. On Monday, Milwaukee scored their only five runs in the fifth inning. SP Junior Guerra left after just three innings when he pulled his calf muscle while running out a bunt.

Milwaukee will give the nod to twenty-four year old righty Zach Davies (11-7 3.97 ERA) on Tuesday. Davies gave up one run over six frames and earned the victory in his only start versus Colorado last season.
Recent Betting Trends:
Rockies are 0-4 in Andersons last 4 road starts.
Brewers are 14-4 in their last 18 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 5-1 in Andersons last 6 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Davies' last 5 home starts.
Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Milwaukee.
Free Betting Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -115
Colorado placed OF David Dahl (ribs) and 1B Ian Desmond (hand) on the 10-day disabled list. Last season, the Rockies ranked 2nd in OPS and 2nd in runs scored. Milwaukee ranked 18th in OPS and 25th in runs scored a season ago. Anderson is talented but his struggles on the road cannot be ignored. Final Score Prediction, Milwaukee Brewers win 5-4.

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These two division champions from last year meet in a great series to open the season. Cleveland won the AL Central with a 94-67 record and lost to the Chicago Cubs in the World Series in a soul-crushing, extra innings loss. Adept manager Terry Francona leads the Indians again. The Texas Rangers won the AL West with a 95-67 overall mark.

Carlos Carrasco takes the mound for Cleveland. He was 11-8 with a 3.32 ERA last season, making 25 starts. He's 44-46 for his career, which has all been in Cleveland. The Indians acquired heavy hitting Edwin Encarnacion from Toronto in the offseason. He busted 42 home runs for the Blue Jays last season and will DH for Cleveland. Carlos Santana plays a wicked tune with his bat, as well. He crushed 34 homers and drove in 87 runs last season.

Martin Perez, a 25-year-old lefty, draws the start for Texas. He was 10-11 last season, with a 4.39 ERA in 33 starts. He has a 28-30 career record.

Mike Napoli came over from Cleveland after banging 34 home runs and driving in 101 runs. Elvis Andrus returns as well, looking to duplicate his fine season at shortstop and at the plate where he batted .302 with 75 runs and also stole 24 bases. The Rangers will need his production because they'll miss the big bat of Adrian Beltre, who starts the season on the disabled list due to a calf injury. Jonathan Lucroy hit 24 HRs last yr.
Recent Betting Trends:
Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
Under is 5-0 in Indians last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 overall.
Free Betting Pick: Cleveland Indians -134
The Indians had big comeback win yesterday 8-5 and now have huge starting pitching edge in 2nd game of series. Cleveland's starter Carasco is just too good and gives Indians huge start to season. Final Score Prediction, Cleveland Indians win 5-3.


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