PREDICTION MLB MONDAY 24-04-2017

MLB

Cincinnati Reds (10-9 SU, 12-7 RL, 9-8-2 O/U) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (9-11 SU, 10-10 RL, 12-8 O/U)

MLB: Monday, April 24, 2017, Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, 7:40 pm ET

Lines: Cincinnati -111, Milwaukee +101; Over/Under: 8.5

A pair of NL Central rivals renew their rivalry as they open a series in beer country. The Cincinnati Reds are on the road to open a trip as they kick off a set with the Milwaukee Brewers Monday night. Cincinnati salvaged the finale of their three game set at home against the Cubs with a 7-5 victory Sunday afternoon. Milwaukee lost for the fifth time in six games as they lost the last three of a four game set with the Cardinals, falling 6-4 at home Sunday. The Brewers took three of four in the last series between the teams, which came at the Great American Ball Park April 13-16.

Cincinnati Reds Look to Win Second Straight

Cincinnati had lost four in a row before capitalizing on a couple of mistakes by the Cubs to ensure a win Sunday. The Reds tallied four times in the sixth inning despite only two hits as they took advantage of two errors and a walk. The big inning gave Cincinnati a 7-2 lead and they held on for the win. Patrick Kivlehan had the big hit with a bases clearing double. Scott Schebler (run, two RBI) had a solo homer among his two hits. He was the only Cincinnati player with multiple hits as the team had just six on the day. Joey Votto also drove in a run while the seventh run scored on an error. Bronson Arroyo (2-2) picked up the win as he threw six innings, allowing two runs on three hits with no walks and seven strikeouts.

Rookie Amir Garrett makes his fourth start of the season for the Reds in this contest. He is 2-1 with a 1.83 ERA, a 0.864 WHIP with three walks and 21 strikeouts over 19.2 innings of action. Garrett took a tough loss in his last start, which came Wednesday against the Orioles at home. He threw seven innings, allowing two runs on seven hits with a walk and 12 strikeouts. Cincinnati lost the game by a 2-0 score. Garrett makes his first career start against the Brewers and at Miller Park in this one. He was 25-29 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 496 innings in 100 appearances, 96 starts, in the minors prior to this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Seek to Get Back on Track

Milwaukee has dropped five of six, losing the final two of their set with the Cubs and three of four at home to St. Louis. The Brewers had a 2-1 lead after three innings but gave up three runs in the fourth, including two on a single by opposing pitcher Mike Leake, and never led again. Ryan Braun (RBI) and Keon Broxton (run) each had two hits to lead the Brewers in the loss. Manny Pina hit a solo homer, his first of the year, for Milwaukee while Jonathan Villar and Travis Shaw each drove in runs in the loss. Jimmy Nelson (1-1) was handed the defeat on the mound. He threw 5.1 innings, allowing four runs (three earned) on five hits with six walks and five strikeouts.

Matt Garza is expected to be activated off the disabled list to make his first start of the year for the Brewers. He has dealt with a groin injury since near the end of spring training. Garza made 19 starts last season, posting a 6-8 record with a 4.51 ERA and a 1.505 WHIP over 101.2 innings of work in those outings. His ERA could have been far worse after allowing 16 unearned runs. Garza makes his 15th career start against the Reds in this contest. He is 4-5 with a 4.84 ERA and a 1.488 WHIP over 80 innings in those contests. This is his 41st career appearance and 40th start at Miller Park. Garza is 14-15 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 241.2 innings of work in those outings.

Trends:

Cincinnati

Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 road games

Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter

Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record

Milwaukee

Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League Central

Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 overall

Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass

Both teams have had their struggles recently and were victims of series losses to the Cubs. The Brewers were waffled by the Cardinals over the weekend and couldn’t seem to put things together. Milwaukee won the series last weekend in Cincinnati but the Reds have the edge on the mound in this one. Garrett has been impressive and you have to think he’ll take advantage of a mediocre Brewers lineup. Look for the Reds to get the victory here.

Free Daily Lock Pick: NBA: Golden St. vs. Portland - April 24th - (100% Confidence Release)

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -111

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